10 Oct · 06:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JP
🇵🇱Jacek Przewlocki
ELO 1313
FormLLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Wrobel
DW
🇵🇱Dariusz Wrobel
ELO 1321
FormWWLLW
49%
51%
🌟Wrobel rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (19)
Fair odds · Wrobel
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.87· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
20%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+8
H2H12-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.