10 Oct · 06:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
WI
🇵🇱Wojciech Iwasyszyn
ELO 1371
FormLWWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Iwasyszyn
JR
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1294
FormLLLLL
58%
42%
🌟Rolak covers set handicap as underdog 82% (28)
Fair odds · Iwasyszyn
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 53% · 1.90· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+77
H2H7-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)