10 Oct · 06:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KK
🇵🇱Kamil Klocek
ELO 1421
FormLLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Mleczko
BM
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mleczko
ELO 1451
FormLWWWL
47%
53%
🌟Mleczko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 25% (28)
Fair odds · Mleczko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
2-3
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+30
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.