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10 Oct · 05:15 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
DWDariusz Wrobel
🇵🇱Dariusz Wrobel
ELO 1317
1-3Final setsSzoltysek won
ASArtur Szoltysek
🇵🇱Artur Szoltysek
ELO 1364
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Szoltysek at 55%. The actual result was Artur Szoltysek 1-3 — the pick was correct.

Dariusz Wrobel — profile →Artur Szoltysek — profile →Head-to-head →
How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Dariusz Wrobel favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 75.5
77 points played
Over
Set handicap
Dariusz Wrobel −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Dariusz Wrobel −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dariusz Wrobel is favoured to win, below means Artur Szoltysek.

▲ Dariusz Wrobelpre 48% → final 21%
Artur Szoltysek ▼
Biggest swing 44 ptsSzoltysek recovered from 40%72 points · 4 games