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10 Oct · 05:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MOMichal Oracz
🇵🇱Michal Oracz
ELO 1500
2-3Final setsBuczynski won
WBWitold Buczynski
🇵🇱Witold Buczynski
ELO 1421
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Oracz at 54%. The actual result was Witold Buczynski 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Oracz favoured — closing 1.5
Upset
Total 74.5
100 points played
Over
Set handicap
Michal Oracz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Michal Oracz −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Oracz is favoured to win, below means Witold Buczynski.

▲ Michal Oraczpre 58% → final 24%
Witold Buczynski ▼
Biggest swing 75 ptsBuczynski recovered from 14%72 points · 5 games