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10 Oct · 05:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MKMariusz Koczyba
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1531
3-1Final setsKoczyba won
JJJakub Jesiek
🇵🇱Jakub Jesiek
ELO 1503
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Koczyba at 51%. The actual result was Mariusz Koczyba 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mariusz Koczyba favoured — closing 1.75
Favourite won
Total 73.5
66 points played
Under
Set handicap
Mariusz Koczyba −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Mariusz Koczyba −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.65
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Koczyba is favoured to win, below means Jakub Jesiek.

▲ Mariusz Koczybapre 55% → final 100%
Jakub Jesiek ▼
Biggest swing 59 ptsKoczyba recovered from 41%65 points · 4 games