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10 Oct · 06:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
TPTadeusz Piotrowski
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1446
0-3Final setsMleczko won
BMBartlomiej Mleczko
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mleczko
ELO 1472
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mleczko at 52%. The actual result was Bartlomiej Mleczko 0-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Bartlomiej Mleczko favoured — closing 1.6
Favourite won
Total 73.5
49 points played
Under
Set handicap
Bartlomiej Mleczko −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Bartlomiej Mleczko −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Tadeusz Piotrowski is favoured to win, below means Bartlomiej Mleczko.

▲ Tadeusz Piotrowskipre 51% → final 0%
Bartlomiej Mleczko ▼
Biggest swing 56 ptsMleczko recovered from 44%48 points · 3 games