10 Oct · 08:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JP
🇵🇱Jacek Przewlocki
ELO 1317
FormLWLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Wisniewski
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1320
FormWWLLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Wisniewski
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 53% · 1.88· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H32-54
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.