10 Oct · 09:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JR
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1304
FormWLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Szoltysek
AS
🇵🇱Artur Szoltysek
ELO 1364
FormWLWWW
43%
57%
🌟Rolak covers set handicap as underdog 82% (28)
Fair odds · Szoltysek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 60% · 1.68· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+60
H2H7-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)