10 Oct · 09:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1514
FormLWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Pytlas
WP
🇵🇱Wojciech Pytlas
ELO 1532
FormWWWLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Pytlas
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+18
H2H7-29
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.