10 Oct · 09:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AC
🇵🇱Aleksander Cichocki
ELO 1615
FormWLLLL
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Cichocki
WB
🇵🇱Witold Buczynski
ELO 1421
FormWWWLW
70%
30%
Fair odds · Cichocki
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 77% · 1.30· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~75 pts
3-0
30%
3-1
25%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+194
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+194)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)