10 Oct · 10:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1510
FormLLWWL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Hetnar
KH
🇵🇱Krzysztof Hetnar
ELO 1627
FormWLWWW
37%
63%
Fair odds · Hetnar
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 65% · 1.53· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+117
H2H42-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+117)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (42-20)