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10 Oct · 09:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MOMichal Oracz
🇵🇱Michal Oracz
ELO 1521
3-2Final setsOracz won
ACAleksander Cichocki
🇵🇱Aleksander Cichocki
ELO 1603
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Cichocki at 61%. The actual result was Michal Oracz 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Aleksander Cichocki favoured — closing 1.35
Upset
Total 73.5
86 points played
Over
Set handicap
Aleksander Cichocki −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Aleksander Cichocki −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.7
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Oracz is favoured to win, below means Aleksander Cichocki.

▲ Michal Oraczpre 35% → final 94%
Aleksander Cichocki ▼
Biggest swing 77 ptsOracz recovered from 17%72 points · 5 games