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10 Oct · 12:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
BMBartlomiej Mleczko
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mleczko
ELO 1468
3-0Final setsMleczko won
TPTadeusz Piotrowski
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1441
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mleczko at 52%. The actual result was Bartlomiej Mleczko 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Bartlomiej Mleczko favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Total 76.5
54 points played
Under
Set handicap
Bartlomiej Mleczko −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Bartlomiej Mleczko −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
5.7
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Mleczko is favoured to win, below means Tadeusz Piotrowski.

▲ Bartlomiej Mleczkopre 49% → final 100%
Tadeusz Piotrowski ▼
Biggest swing 56 ptsMleczko recovered from 44%48 points · 3 games