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10 Oct · 12:40 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JRJaroslaw Rolak
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1305
3-2Final setsRolak won
IDIgor Dabrowski
🇵🇱Igor Dabrowski
ELO 1447
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Dabrowski at 66%. The actual result was Jaroslaw Rolak 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Igor Dabrowski favoured — closing 1.45
Upset
Total 75.5
96 points played
Over
Set handicap
Igor Dabrowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Igor Dabrowski −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.6
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jaroslaw Rolak is favoured to win, below means Igor Dabrowski.

▲ Jaroslaw Rolakpre 36% → final 99%
Igor Dabrowski ▼
Biggest swing 82 ptsRolak recovered from 17%72 points · 5 games