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10 Oct · 14:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
IDIgor Dabrowski
🇵🇱Igor Dabrowski
ELO 1444
2-3Final setsSzoltysek won
ASArtur Szoltysek
🇵🇱Artur Szoltysek
ELO 1351
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Dabrowski at 61%. The actual result was Artur Szoltysek 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Dabrowski favoured — closing 1.52
Upset
Total 75.5
87 points played
Over
Set handicap
Dabrowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Dabrowski −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Igor Dabrowski is favoured to win, below means Artur Szoltysek.

▲ Igor Dabrowskipre 58% → final 6%
Artur Szoltysek ▼
Biggest swing 77 ptsSzoltysek recovered from 17%72 points · 5 games