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10 Oct · 15:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
DMDaniel Morawiec
🇵🇱Daniel Morawiec
ELO 1500
3-2Final setsMorawiec won
DSDariusz Swider
🇵🇱Dariusz Swider
ELO 1533
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Swider at 53%. The actual result was Daniel Morawiec 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Morawiec favoured — closing 1.65
Favourite won
Set handicap
Morawiec −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Morawiec −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.95
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Daniel Morawiec is favoured to win, below means Dariusz Swider.

▲ Daniel Morawiecpre 50% → final 95%
Dariusz Swider ▼
Biggest swing 63 ptsMorawiec recovered from 35%72 points · 5 games