11 Oct · 00:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AS
🇵🇱Andrzej Szurgot
ELO 1294
FormLWLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Szurgot
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Maszczynski
ELO 1240
FormLLLLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Szurgot
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 53% · 1.90· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+54
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+54)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)