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10 Oct · 16:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MKMilosz Kukawka
🇵🇱Milosz Kukawka
ELO 1490
3-2Final setsKukawka won
DKDawid Kotwica
🇵🇱Dawid Kotwica
ELO 1340
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kukawka at 63%. The actual result was Milosz Kukawka 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Kukawka favoured — closing 1.47
Favourite won
Set handicap
Kukawka −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Kukawka −4.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.3
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Milosz Kukawka is favoured to win, below means Dawid Kotwica.

▲ Milosz Kukawkapre 61% → final 96%
Dawid Kotwica ▼
Biggest swing 62 ptsKukawka recovered from 36%72 points · 5 games