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10 Oct · 18:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
CPCezary Pawlik
🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik
ELO 1649
3-0Final setsPawlik won
JSJakub Skorupa
🇵🇱Jakub Skorupa
ELO 1496
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Pawlik at 66%. The actual result was Cezary Pawlik 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Pawlik favoured — closing 1.4
Favourite won
Set handicap
Pawlik −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Pawlik −5.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Cezary Pawlik is favoured to win, below means Jakub Skorupa.

▲ Cezary Pawlikpre 64% → final 97%
Jakub Skorupa ▼
Biggest swing 35 pts53 points · 3 games