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10 Oct · 18:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MKMilosz Kukawka
🇵🇱Milosz Kukawka
ELO 1490
3-1Final setsKukawka won
DPDawid Poloszczanski
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1291
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kukawka at 71%. The actual result was Milosz Kukawka 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Kukawka favoured — closing 1.35
Favourite won
Total 74.5
73 points played
Under
Set handicap
Kukawka −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Kukawka −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.05
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Milosz Kukawka is favoured to win, below means Dawid Poloszczanski.

▲ Milosz Kukawkapre 70% → final 100%
Dawid Poloszczanski ▼
Biggest swing 39 pts71 points · 4 games