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10 Oct · 19:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
DPDawid Poloszczanski
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1291
3-1Final setsPoloszczanski won
DKDawid Kotwica
🇵🇱Dawid Kotwica
ELO 1340
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kotwica at 58%. The actual result was Dawid Poloszczanski 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Kotwica favoured — closing 1.55
Upset
Total 75.5
71 points played
Under
Set handicap
Kotwica −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Kotwica −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dawid Poloszczanski is favoured to win, below means Dawid Kotwica.

▲ Dawid Poloszczanskipre 38% → final 99%
Dawid Kotwica ▼
Biggest swing 66 ptsPoloszczanski recovered from 33%70 points · 4 games