10 Oct · 23:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JO
🇵🇱Jacek Oracz
ELO 1674
FormWWLWW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Oracz
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Mucha
ELO 1540
FormWWWLL
64%
36%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~77 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+134
H2H16-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+134)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-3)