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10 Oct · 23:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JSJakub Skorupa
🇵🇱Jakub Skorupa
ELO 1524
3-0Final setsSkorupa won
GMGrzegorz Mucha
🇵🇱Grzegorz Mucha
ELO 1539
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mucha at 55%. The actual result was Jakub Skorupa 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jakub Skorupa favoured — closing 1.5
Favourite won
Total 79.5
61 points played
Under
Set handicap
Jakub Skorupa −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Jakub Skorupa −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
4.55
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Skorupa is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Mucha.

▲ Jakub Skorupapre 48% → final 95%
Grzegorz Mucha ▼
Biggest swing 68 ptsSkorupa recovered from 30%72 points · 5 games