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11 Oct · 02:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JSJakub Skorupa
🇵🇱Jakub Skorupa
ELO 1524
3-1Final setsSkorupa won
OJOskar Jedrzejowski
🇵🇱Oskar Jedrzejowski
ELO 1568
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Jedrzejowski at 57%. The actual result was Jakub Skorupa 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Oskar Jedrzejowski favoured — closing 1.55
Upset
Total 75.5
70 points played
Under
Set handicap
Oskar Jedrzejowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Oskar Jedrzejowski −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Skorupa is favoured to win, below means Oskar Jedrzejowski.

▲ Jakub Skorupapre 46% → final 99%
Oskar Jedrzejowski ▼
Biggest swing 60 ptsSkorupa recovered from 39%69 points · 4 games