11 Oct · 05:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇵🇱Maciej Sinicki
ELO 1368
FormLLWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Staniszewski
PS
🇵🇱Piotr Staniszewski
ELO 1414
FormWLLLL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Staniszewski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 46% · 2.18· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+46
H2H34-24
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+46)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (34-24)