11 Oct · 08:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MO
🇵🇱Michal Oracz
ELO 1570
FormWWWWW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Oracz
RW
🇵🇱Rafal Wojcik
ELO 1447
FormLLWLL
63%
37%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 69% · 1.44· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~77 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+123
H2H27-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+123)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-5)