Mariusz Adamus vs Jakub Jesiek — TT Elite Series

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11 Oct · 06:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus

ELO 1481

3-1Final setsAdamus won

🇵🇱Jakub Jesiek

ELO 1492

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Jesiek at 55%. The actual result was Mariusz Adamus 3-1 — the underdog won.

Mariusz Adamus — profile →Jakub Jesiek — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Jakub Jesiek favoured — closing 1.6

Upset

Total 74.5

73 points played

Under

Set handicap

Jakub Jesiek −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Jakub Jesiek −2.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-1 at close

4.6

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Adamus is favoured to win, below means Jakub Jesiek.

▲ Mariusz Adamuspre 48% → final 75%

Jakub Jesiek ▼

Biggest swing 70 ptsAdamus recovered from 25%71 points · 4 games