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11 Oct · 07:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
AEAdrian Eliasz
🇵🇱Adrian Eliasz
ELO 1372
3-1Final setsEliasz won
PSPiotr Staniszewski
🇵🇱Piotr Staniszewski
ELO 1376
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Staniszewski at 53%. The actual result was Adrian Eliasz 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Piotr Staniszewski favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Total 75.5
79 points played
Over
Set handicap
Piotr Staniszewski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Piotr Staniszewski −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.6
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Adrian Eliasz is favoured to win, below means Piotr Staniszewski.

▲ Adrian Eliaszpre 43% → final 98%
Piotr Staniszewski ▼
Biggest swing 69 ptsEliasz recovered from 31%72 points · 4 games