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11 Oct · 07:15 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JLJakub Lamperski
🇵🇱Jakub Lamperski
ELO 1544
3-1Final setsLamperski won
AMArkadiusz Mugowski
🇵🇱Arkadiusz Mugowski
ELO 1403
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lamperski at 66%. The actual result was Jakub Lamperski 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jakub Lamperski favoured — closing 1.57
Favourite won
Total 74.5
69 points played
Under
Set handicap
Jakub Lamperski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Jakub Lamperski −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Lamperski is favoured to win, below means Arkadiusz Mugowski.

▲ Jakub Lamperskipre 64% → final 100%
Arkadiusz Mugowski ▼
Biggest swing 36 pts68 points · 4 games