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11 Oct · 07:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
SSStanislaw Sojka
🇵🇱Stanislaw Sojka
ELO 1547
3-0Final setsSojka won
SSSebastian Szostok
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1522
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Sojka at 52%. The actual result was Stanislaw Sojka 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Sebastian Szostok favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 74.5
59 points played
Under
Set handicap
Sebastian Szostok −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Sebastian Szostok −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
7.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Stanislaw Sojka is favoured to win, below means Sebastian Szostok.

▲ Stanislaw Sojkapre 56% → final 99%
Sebastian Szostok ▼
Biggest swing 43 pts58 points · 3 games