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11 Oct · 08:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MAMariusz Adamus
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1481
3-2Final setsAdamus won
WPWojciech Pytlas
🇵🇱Wojciech Pytlas
ELO 1529
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Pytlas at 57%. The actual result was Mariusz Adamus 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Wojciech Pytlas favoured — closing 1.55
Upset
Total 73.5
90 points played
Over
Set handicap
Wojciech Pytlas −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Wojciech Pytlas −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.8
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Adamus is favoured to win, below means Wojciech Pytlas.

▲ Mariusz Adamuspre 39% → final 75%
Wojciech Pytlas ▼
Biggest swing 79 ptsAdamus recovered from 6%72 points · 5 games