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11 Oct · 08:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MSMaciej Sinicki
🇵🇱Maciej Sinicki
ELO 1376
3-1Final setsSinicki won
AEAdrian Eliasz
🇵🇱Adrian Eliasz
ELO 1372
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Eliasz at 51%. The actual result was Maciej Sinicki 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Maciej Sinicki favoured — closing 1.8
Favourite won
Total 74.5
79 points played
Over
Set handicap
Maciej Sinicki −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Maciej Sinicki −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.9
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maciej Sinicki is favoured to win, below means Adrian Eliasz.

▲ Maciej Sinickipre 53% → final 98%
Adrian Eliasz ▼
Biggest swing 49 pts72 points · 4 games