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11 Oct · 08:45 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
WWWojciech Wojtaszczyk
🇵🇱Wojciech Wojtaszczyk
ELO 1556
3-1Final setsWojtaszczyk won
SSSebastian Szostok
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1514
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Wojtaszczyk at 54%. The actual result was Wojciech Wojtaszczyk 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Szostok favoured — closing 1.8
Upset
Total 76.5
86 points played
Over
Set handicap
Szostok −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Szostok −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.35
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Wojciech Wojtaszczyk is favoured to win, below means Sebastian Szostok.

▲ Wojciech Wojtaszczykpre 51% → final 96%
Sebastian Szostok ▼
Biggest swing 48 pts56 points · 3 games