11 Oct · 11:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MO
🇵🇱Michal Oracz
ELO 1574
FormWLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Oracz
WW
🇵🇱Wojciech Wojtaszczyk
ELO 1559
FormWWWLL
52%
48%
🌟Wojtaszczyk stays under total as underdog 62% (61)
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 53% · 1.87· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+15
H2H7-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.