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← TT Elite Series predictions
11 Oct · 10:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
AEAdrian Eliasz
🇵🇱Adrian Eliasz
ELO 1372
3-2Final setsEliasz won
PSPiotr Staniszewski
🇵🇱Piotr Staniszewski
ELO 1396
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Eliasz at 51%. The actual result was Adrian Eliasz 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Staniszewski favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 75.5
91 points played
Over
Set handicap
Staniszewski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Staniszewski −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.95
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Adrian Eliasz is favoured to win, below means Piotr Staniszewski.

▲ Adrian Eliaszpre 47% → final 98%
Piotr Staniszewski ▼
Biggest swing 65 ptsEliasz recovered from 35%72 points · 4 games