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11 Oct · 11:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
AMArkadiusz Mugowski
🇵🇱Arkadiusz Mugowski
ELO 1408
3-1Final setsMugowski won
AMAdrian Myszewski
🇵🇱Adrian Myszewski
ELO 1404
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Myszewski at 54%. The actual result was Arkadiusz Mugowski 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mugowski favoured — closing 1.75
Favourite won
Total 75.5
83 points played
Over
Set handicap
Mugowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mugowski −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Arkadiusz Mugowski is favoured to win, below means Adrian Myszewski.

▲ Arkadiusz Mugowskipre 49% → final 95%
Adrian Myszewski ▼
Biggest swing 62 ptsMugowski recovered from 33%72 points · 4 games