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11 Oct · 11:25 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MSMaciej Sinicki
🇵🇱Maciej Sinicki
ELO 1363
2-3Final setsStaniszewski won
PSPiotr Staniszewski
🇵🇱Piotr Staniszewski
ELO 1396
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Sinicki at 51%. The actual result was Piotr Staniszewski 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Sinicki favoured — closing 1.52
Upset
Total 74.5
97 points played
Over
Set handicap
Sinicki −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Sinicki −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maciej Sinicki is favoured to win, below means Piotr Staniszewski.

▲ Maciej Sinickipre 55% → final 5%
Piotr Staniszewski ▼
Biggest swing 72 ptsStaniszewski recovered from 25%72 points · 5 games