Andrzej Szurgot vs Kacper Kwiatkowski — TT Elite Series

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11 Oct · 16:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Andrzej Szurgot

ELO 1315

3-1Final setsSzurgot won

🇵🇱Kacper Kwiatkowski

ELO 1406

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kwiatkowski at 66%. The actual result was Andrzej Szurgot 3-1 — the underdog won.

Andrzej Szurgot — profile →Kacper Kwiatkowski — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Kacper Kwiatkowski favoured — closing 1.5

Upset

Total 72.5

71 points played

Under

Set handicap

Kacper Kwiatkowski −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Kacper Kwiatkowski −5.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-1 at close

5.1

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Andrzej Szurgot is favoured to win, below means Kacper Kwiatkowski.

▲ Andrzej Szurgotpre 36% → final 98%

Kacper Kwiatkowski ▼

Biggest swing 84 ptsSzurgot recovered from 15%72 points · 4 games