11 Oct · 21:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KK
🇵🇱Kacper Kwiatkowski
ELO 1406
FormLLLLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Kubiak
AK
🇵🇱Artur Kubiak
ELO 1550
FormWWWWW
35%
65%
Fair odds · Kubiak
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~77 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+144
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+144)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)