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11 Oct · 13:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
SSStanislaw Sojka
🇵🇱Stanislaw Sojka
ELO 1528
1-3Final setsSzostok won
SSSebastian Szostok
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1514
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Sojka at 53%. The actual result was Sebastian Szostok 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Sebastian Szostok favoured — closing 1.75
Favourite won
Total 75.5
69 points played
Under
Set handicap
Sebastian Szostok −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Sebastian Szostok −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Stanislaw Sojka is favoured to win, below means Sebastian Szostok.

▲ Stanislaw Sojkapre 57% → final 99%
Sebastian Szostok ▼
Biggest swing 43 pts58 points · 3 games