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← TT Elite Series predictions
11 Oct · 14:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
AMArkadiusz Mugowski
🇵🇱Arkadiusz Mugowski
ELO 1408
1-3Final setsStaniszewski won
PSPiotr Staniszewski
🇵🇱Piotr Staniszewski
ELO 1396
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mugowski at 53%. The actual result was Piotr Staniszewski 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Arkadiusz Mugowski favoured — closing 1.57
Upset
Total 75.5
80 points played
Over
Set handicap
Arkadiusz Mugowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Arkadiusz Mugowski −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Arkadiusz Mugowski is favoured to win, below means Piotr Staniszewski.

▲ Arkadiusz Mugowskipre 57% → final 5%
Piotr Staniszewski ▼
Biggest swing 72 ptsStaniszewski recovered from 27%72 points · 4 games