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11 Oct · 15:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
WWWojciech Wojtaszczyk
🇵🇱Wojciech Wojtaszczyk
ELO 1556
3-2Final setsWojtaszczyk won
MOMichal Oracz
🇵🇱Michal Oracz
ELO 1589
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Oracz at 57%. The actual result was Wojciech Wojtaszczyk 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Oracz favoured — closing 1.6
Upset
Total 76.5
89 points played
Over
Set handicap
Michal Oracz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Michal Oracz −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.75
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Wojciech Wojtaszczyk is favoured to win, below means Michal Oracz.

▲ Wojciech Wojtaszczykpre 39% → final 3%
Michal Oracz ▼
Biggest swing 53 ptsOracz recovered from 44%72 points · 4 games