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11 Oct · 16:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
RWRafal Wojcik
🇵🇱Rafal Wojcik
ELO 1468
3-2Final setsWojcik won
MOMichal Oracz
🇵🇱Michal Oracz
ELO 1589
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Oracz at 65%. The actual result was Rafal Wojcik 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Oracz favoured — closing 1.22
Upset
Total 73.5
89 points played
Over
Set handicap
Michal Oracz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Michal Oracz −7.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
7.25
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rafal Wojcik is favoured to win, below means Michal Oracz.

▲ Rafal Wojcikpre 37% → final 86%
Michal Oracz ▼
Biggest swing 62 ptsWojcik recovered from 24%70 points · 4 games