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11 Oct · 16:50 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MBMariusz Baron
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1445
1-3Final setsSzymanski won
ISIgor Szymanski
🇵🇱Igor Szymanski
ELO 1280
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Baron at 69%. The actual result was Igor Szymanski 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mariusz Baron favoured — closing 1.5
Upset
Total 75.5
71 points played
Under
Set handicap
Mariusz Baron −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mariusz Baron −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Baron is favoured to win, below means Igor Szymanski.

▲ Mariusz Baronpre 74% → final 16%
Igor Szymanski ▼
Biggest swing 59 ptsSzymanski recovered from 26%70 points · 4 games