11 Oct · 20:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1512
FormWWWWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Oracz
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1399
FormLLLLL
62%
38%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+113
H2H26-33
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+113)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)