11 Oct · 21:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1533
FormLLLWW
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Gumulinski
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1311
FormWLLLL
73%
27%
🌟Nowak goes over total as underdog 63% (71)
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 76% · 1.32· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~77 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
11%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+222
H2H49-30
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+222)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (49-30)