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Ratings & Predictions
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11 Oct · 20:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MSMateusz Sikon
🇵🇱Mateusz Sikon
ELO 1412
2-3Final setsBaron won
MBMariusz Baron
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1449
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Baron at 52%. The actual result was Mariusz Baron 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mariusz Baron favoured — closing 1.75
Favourite won
Set handicap
Mariusz Baron −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mariusz Baron −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 2-3 at close
4.75
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Sikon is favoured to win, below means Mariusz Baron.

▲ Mateusz Sikonpre 44% → final 5%
Mariusz Baron ▼
Biggest swing 48 pts72 points · 4 games