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11 Oct · 22:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MGMichal Guzik
🇵🇱Michal Guzik
ELO 1578
3-1Final setsGuzik won
GSGrzegorz Sawicki
🇵🇱Grzegorz Sawicki
ELO 1345
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Guzik at 74%. The actual result was Michal Guzik 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Guzik favoured — closing 1.25
Favourite won
Set handicap
Michal Guzik −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Michal Guzik −8.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
2.65
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Guzik is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Sawicki.

▲ Michal Guzikpre 79% → final 58%
Grzegorz Sawicki ▼
Biggest swing 92 ptsGuzik recovered from 7%72 points · 5 games