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11 Oct · 23:05 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
LOLukasz Oracz
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1523
3-2Final setsOracz won
JNJakub Nowak
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1342
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Oracz at 70%. The actual result was Lukasz Oracz 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Lukasz Oracz favoured — closing 1.35
Favourite won
Set handicap
Lukasz Oracz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Lukasz Oracz −6.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.55
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Lukasz Oracz is favoured to win, below means Jakub Nowak.

▲ Lukasz Oraczpre 68% → final 92%
Jakub Nowak ▼
Biggest swing 62 ptsOracz recovered from 36%72 points · 5 games